Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 56.737162 64.473914 72.469193 81.318003 90.806884 100.648124 111.597644
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 43.759794 54.542536 66.286836 79.900490 95.123355 111.507600 130.362247
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 36.770112 49.191501 63.259168 80.106885 99.485243 120.848194 145.955528
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 31.517567 45.005524 60.826458 80.314660 103.263280 129.057789 159.881654
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 27.626612 41.912906 59.212430 81.053311 107.291303 137.261591 173.562813
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 23.631608 38.220559 56.476893 80.098827 109.031949 142.589746 183.752256
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 21.244638 36.334710 55.756039 81.401290 113.308261 150.766074 197.166854
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 19.340223 34.884739 55.422218 83.045928 117.895775 159.243881 210.900903
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 16.746855 32.202219 53.261627 82.190664 119.259908 163.757264 219.865311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 14.071203 29.108277 50.314167 80.113891 118.930215 166.091053 226.122620
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 13.373202 28.922418 51.304148 83.173236 125.074166 176.329044 241.915616
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.456101 28.295457 51.607449 85.269333 129.962496 185.019070 255.852744
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.691036 26.137130 49.621666 84.215867 130.779974 188.702090 263.777115
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.104928 24.086477 47.651575 83.072046 131.399662 192.089722 271.318648
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.018956 22.773610 46.682106 83.240008 133.686890 197.535915 281.377668
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.062453 21.573359 45.796690 83.458970 135.995239 202.982663 291.429567
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.316268 20.677318 45.319811 84.214489 138.993574 209.296348 302.565986
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.325633 19.138211 43.708421 83.237184 139.581368 212.475973 309.753290
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.842061 18.597966 43.685776 84.570917 143.314737 219.716252 322.064850
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.458087 18.223981 43.909569 86.254793 147.526920 227.587099 335.196388
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.730441 16.926311 42.478120 85.379163 148.141937 230.739749 342.332086
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.933673 15.268604 40.293806 83.252595 146.928125 231.436741 346.297624
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.862873 15.506527 41.497033 86.385126 153.156625 241.974994 362.887054